Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.007104 0.007966 0.008906 0.010010 0.011275 0.012681 0.014368
2025-02-23 0.005623 0.006769 0.008124 0.009856 0.012025 0.014672 0.018176
2025-03-02 0.004914 0.006198 0.007801 0.009971 0.012864 0.016632 0.021985
2025-03-09 0.004341 0.005679 0.007423 0.009896 0.013363 0.018128 0.025310
2025-03-16 0.003789 0.005106 0.006884 0.009500 0.013325 0.018824 0.027544
2025-03-23 0.003456 0.004784 0.006635 0.009455 0.013743 0.020177 0.030882
2025-03-30 0.003312 0.004706 0.006711 0.009874 0.014872 0.022703 0.036389
2025-04-06 0.002999 0.004351 0.006343 0.009573 0.014841 0.023387 0.038943
2025-04-13 0.002739 0.004049 0.006025 0.009311 0.014828 0.024077 0.041572
2025-04-20 0.002566 0.003866 0.005869 0.009286 0.015195 0.025434 0.045577
2025-04-27 0.002484 0.003815 0.005914 0.009593 0.016151 0.027924 0.052080
2025-05-04 0.002343 0.003658 0.005774 0.009565 0.016509 0.029362 0.056728
2025-05-11 0.002231 0.003546 0.005708 0.009681 0.017174 0.031526 0.063386
2025-05-18 0.002083 0.003365 0.005512 0.009547 0.017362 0.032804 0.068421
2025-05-25 0.001991 0.003269 0.005455 0.009658 0.018029 0.035124 0.076205
2025-06-01 0.001879 0.003131 0.005309 0.009585 0.018320 0.036695 0.082534
2025-06-08 0.001732 0.002920 0.005016 0.009204 0.017932 0.036749 0.085171
2025-06-15 0.001646 0.002811 0.004902 0.009160 0.018247 0.038400 0.092167
2025-06-22 0.001625 0.002820 0.005007 0.009564 0.019569 0.042537 0.106604
2025-06-29 0.001519 0.002663 0.004784 0.009274 0.019323 0.042932 0.110826
2025-07-06 0.001425 0.002524 0.004587 0.009021 0.019131 0.043437 0.115473
2025-07-13 0.001364 0.002445 0.004502 0.008997 0.019468 0.045309 0.124597
2025-07-20 0.001343 0.002439 0.004561 0.009293 0.020596 0.049382 0.141496